COMPARISON OF FLOOD DISTRIBUTION MODELS FOR JOHOR RIVER BASIN
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.11113/jt.v74.4881Keywords:
General extreme value distribution, goodness of fit test, average recurrent interval, annual peak flow, Johor River basinAbstract
One of the most useful and commonly used parameters to describe a flood event is peak flow or annual maximum flood. In many localities, storm water control facilities are required and their sizes are determined based on certain peak flow magnitude. This study aimed at estimating the average recurrent interval (ARI) of flood event for Johor River basin based on the distributions of annual peak flow. The analysis used annual maximum flow data from July 1965 to June 2010 recorded at the Rantau Panjang gauging station. Five distribution models, namely Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Lognormal, Pearson 5, Weibull and Gamma were tested. The goodness fit test (GOF) of Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) was used to evaluate and estimate the best-fitted distribution. The results reaffirm the current practice that GEV is still the best-fitted distribution model for fitting the annual peak flow data. On the other hand, gamma distribution showed the poorest result.
References
Ahmad, U. N., A. Shabri, Z. A. Zakaria. 2011. Flood Frequency Analysis of Maximum Stream Flows Using L-Moments and TL-Moments Approach. Applied Mathematic Science. 5(5): 243-253.
Bates, P. P., Horith, M. S., C. N. and Mason, D. C. 1997. Integrating Remote Sensing Observation of Flood Hydrology and Hydraulic Modelling. Hydraulically Process. 11: 1777-1795.
Bobee, B., G. Cavidas, F. Ashkar, J. Bernier and P. Rasmussen, 1993. Towards A Systematic Approach To Comparing Distributions Used In Flood Frequency Analysis. Journal of Hydrology. 142: 121-136.
Bobee, B. and P. F. Rasmussen. 1995. Recent Advances in Flood Frequency Analysis. Rev. Geography. 33(S2): 1111-1116.
Danazumi, S. and S. Shamsudin. 2011. Modelling the Distribution of Inter-Event Dry Spells for Peninsular Malaysia. Applied. Science. Research. 7: 333-339.
Deni, S. M. and A. A. Jemain. 2009. Fitting The Distribution of Wet and Dry Spells With Alternative Probability Models. Atmosphere Physics. 104: 13-27.
Garde, R. J. and U. C. Kothyari. 1990. Flood Estimation in Indian Catchments. Journal of Hydrology. 113: 135-146.
Gunasekara, T. A. G. and C. Cunnane. 1992. Split Sampling Technique for Selecting a Flood Frequency Analysis Procedure. Journal of. Hydrology. 130: 189-200.
Haktanir, T. 1992. Comparison of Various Flood Frequency Distributions Using Annual Flood Peaks Data of Rivers in Anatolia. Journal of Hydrology. 136: 1-31.
Haktanir, T. and H. B. Horlacher. 1993. Evaluation of Various Distributions for Flood Frequency Analysis. Journal of Hydrology. 2(1-2): 15-32.
Lim, Y. H. and Lye, L. M. 2003. Regional Flood Estimation for Ungauged Basins in Sarawak, Malaysia. Hydrological Science Journal. 48(1): 79-94
Malcom G. Anderson, Paul D. Bates. 2007. Model Validation Perspective in Hydrological Science. University of British, United Kingdom.
MASMA. 2000. Urban Stormwheater Management Manual for Malaysia, Volume 4/Chapter 3, Department of Irrigation and Drainage.
Mitosek, H. T. and W. G. Strupczewski. 2004. Simulation Results of Discrimination Procedures. Retrieved from: http://www.igf.edu.pl/.
Mitosek, H. T., W. G. Strupczewski and V. P. Singh. 2002. Toward An Objective Choice of an Annual Flood Peak Distribution. Proceeding of the 5th International Conference on Hydro-science and-engineering, Published on CR ROM: Advances in Hydro-Science and Engineering,
Mohsen S., Zulkifli Y., Fadhilah Y. 2012. Modelling the Distribution of Flood Characteristic for a Tropical River Basin. Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology. 6(4): 733-738.
Mohsen S., Zulkifli Y., Fadhilah Y. 2013. Comparison of Distribution Models for Peakflow, Flood Volume and Flood Duration. Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology. 6(4): 733-738.
Mutua, F. M. 1994. The Use of the Akaike Information Criterion in the Identification of an Optimum Flood Frequency Model. Journal of Hydrology Science. 39(3): 235-244.
Rao, A. R., and Hamed, K. H. 2000. Flood Frequency Analysis. International Journal of Climatology. 29: 385-416.
Suhaila, J. and A. A., Jemain. 2008. Fitting the Statistical Distribution for Daily Rainfall in Peninsular Malaysia Based On AIC Criterion. Journal Applied Science. 3: 1027-1036.
Takara, K. T. and J. R. Stedinger. 1994. Recent Japanese Contributions to Frequency Analysis And Quantile and Quantile Lower Bound Estimators. Journal of Hydrology Science. 217-234.
Vogel, R. M., W. O. Thomas and T. A. McMahon. 1993. Flood-Flow Frequency Model Selection in Southeastern United States. Journal Water Resource Planning Management. 119(3): 353-366.
Zalina, M. D., M. N. M., Desa, V. V. Nguyen and A. H. M. Kassim. 2002. Selecting a Probability Distribution for Extreme Rainfall Series in Malaysia. Journal Water Sciences Technology. 45: 63-68.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright of articles that appear in Jurnal Teknologi belongs exclusively to Penerbit Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (Penerbit UTM Press). This copyright covers the rights to reproduce the article, including reprints, electronic reproductions, or any other reproductions of similar nature.
