CLIMATE CHANGE AND ROAD SAFETY: A REVIEW TO ASSESS IMPACTS IN MALAYSIA

Authors

  • Shamsuddin Shahid Faculty of Civil Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia
  • Anil Minhans Faculty of Civil Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, 81310 UTM Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.11113/jt.v78.7991

Keywords:

Climate change, road safety, extreme weather events, risk mitigation

Abstract

Climate change is very likely to cause a sharp increase in temperature, which in turn is likely to affect atmospheric water storage, and thereby the magnitudes, frequencies and intensities of rainfall. The road environment, including the weather factors is one of the major causes of accident across the world. Therefore, it is very certain that climate change induced changes in weather factors will affect road safety, if proper adaptation measures are not taken. The major objective of this article is to review the existing literatures on the influence of climatic variables on road accident in order to assess the possible impacts of climate change on road safety in Malaysia. The analysis of exiting literatures reveals that most imminent and certain impacts of climate change on road safety will be due to increase of temperature and rainfall related extremes. However, the impacts may not be very high in Malaysia due to moderate changes of those extremes over a long time. Any potential risk would be possible to mitigate by educating the people on possible impacts of climatic extremes on road environment and motivating them to change their driving behaviour during extreme weather events.

References

ASIRT. 2014. Annual Global Road Crash Statistics. Association for Safe International Road Travel (ASIRT): Rockville, USA.

WHO. 2013. Global Status Report on Road Safety: Time for Action. Department of Violence & Injury Prevention & Disability (VIP), World Health Organization (WHO): Geneva.

Jaroszweski, D., and McNamara, T. 2014. The influence of rainfall on road accidents in urban areas: A weather radar approach. Travel Behaviour and Society.1(1): 15-21.

Nokhandan, M.H., Bazrafshan, J. and Ghorbani, K. 2008. A Quantitative Analysis Of Risk Based On Climatic Factors On The Roads In Iran. Meteorological Applications. 15(3): 347-357.

Norem, H. 2009. Selection Of Strategies For Winter Maintenance Of Roads Based On Climatic Parameters. Journal of Cold Regions Engineering. 23(4): 113-135.

Mondal, P., Sharma, N., Kumar, A., Bhangale, U.D., Tyagi, D. and Singh, R. 2011. Effect Of Rainfall And Wet Road Condition On Road Crashes: A Critical Analysis. SAE Technical Papers.

Andersson, A.K. and Chapman, L. 2011. The Impact Of Climate Change On Winter Road Maintenance And Traffic Accidents In West Midlands, UK. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 43(1): 284-289.

Al-Harbi, M., Yassin, M.F. and Shams, M.B. 2012. Stochastic Modeling Of The Impact Of Meteorological Conditions On Road Traffic Accidents. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 26(5): 739-750.

Jaroszweski, D., Chapman, L. and Petts, J. 2013. Climate Change And Road Freight Safety: A Multidisciplinary Exploration. Climatic Change. 120(4): 785-799.

Amin, M.S.R., Zareie, A. and Amador-Jiménez, L.E. 2014. Climate Change Modeling And The Weather-Related Road Accidents In Canada. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. 32: 171-183.

Vécsei, P. and Kovács, K. 2014. Statistical Analysis Of Relationships Between Road Accidents Involving Personal Injury And Meteorological Variables In Hungary. Idojaras. 118(4): 349-378.

Yadav, G., Maheshwari, S. and Agarwal, A. 2014. Fog Removal Techniques From Images: A Comparative Review And Future Directions. Paper presented at the 2014 International Conference on Signal Propagation and Computer Technology, ICSPCT. 44-52.

Hetu, B. 2007. Analysis Of The Weather Conditions Leading To Avalanche Activity Along Transportation Roads In Northern Gaspésie, Cuébec, Canada. [Les conditions météorologiques propices au déclenchement des avalanches de neige dans les corridors routiers du nord de la gaspésie, québec, Canada] Geographie Physique et Quaternaire. 61(2-3): 165-180.

Segura, J., Tomás, V.R., Sáez, A. and Martínez, J.J. 2009. Automated Agent-Based System For Weather Information. Paper Presented At the Proceedings of the 2009 Euro American Conference on Telematics and Information Systems: New Opportunities to Increase Digital Citizenship, EATIS '09.

MamÄic, S., and SivileviÄius, H. 2013. The analysis of traffic accidents on Lithuanian regional gravel roads. Transport. 28(1): 108-115.

Bergel-Hayat, R., Debbarh, M., Antoniou, C. and Yannis, G. 2013. Explaining the road accident risk: Weather effects. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 60: 456-465.

DVR. 2000. Wind und Wetter. Wie das Wetter auf den Menschen wirkt. DVR-Report 2000, 4: 8-11. Deutscher Verkehrssicherheitsrat e.V., Bonn.

Zhou, H.C., Wang, G., Yang, J., and Xue, K. 2014. Numerical Simulation Of Tire Hydroplaning And Its Influencing Factors. Applied Mechanics and Materials. 602-605: 580-585.

Brand, S., Schmucker, U., Lob, G. Haasper, C., Juhra, C., Hell, W. and Matthes, G. 2014. Increasing Number Of Road Traffic Fatalities In Germany - Turnaround Or Snap-Shot. [Warum wieder mehr Menschen im Straßenverkehr sterben - Trendwende oder Ausreißer?] Zentralblatt Für Chirurgie - Zeitschrift Für Allgemeine, Viszeral-, Thorax- Und Gefäßchirurgie,

Aziz, A.B.A., and Amin, N.F.M. 2012. Transforming the Land Public Transport System in Malaysia: Transforming the Land Public Transport System in Malaysia. JOURNEYS. (May): 30–37.

Pour, S.H., Harun, S.B. and Shahid, S. 2014. Genetic Programming for the Downscaling of Extreme Rainfall Events on the East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia. Atmosphere. 5: 914-936.

Lim, J.T., and Abu Samah, A. 2004. Weather and climate of Malaysia. University of Malaya Press, pp. 170.

IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Summary for Policymakers. Contribution of the Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

MOSTE. 2000. Malaysia Initial National Communication. Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment (MOSTE): Malaysia.. 131.

NAHRIM. 2006. Study Of The Impact Of Climate Change On The Hydrologic Regime And Water Resources Of Peninsular Malaysia – Final Report.Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment.184.

Malaysian Meteorological Department. 2009. Report On Heavy Rain Occurrence That Cause Floods in Kelantan and Terengganu. Gong Kedak Forecast Office, Malaysian Meteorological Department (MMD), Ministry of Science, Technology And Innovation. http://www.met.gov.my/images/pdf/weather_report/report_on%20heavy%20rain_in_kelantan_dan_terengganu_%20%2823-27%20november%202009%29.pdf.

Wan Azli, W.H., Mohan, S.K. and Kumarenthiran, S. 2008. Climate Change Scenario Climate Change Scenario And the Impact of Global Warming on the Winter Monsoon. In the Second National Conference on Extreme Weather and Climate Change: Understanding Science and Risk Reduction. 14-15 October 2008, Putrajaya, Malyasia.

Shaaban, A.J., M.ZZ. Amin, Z.Q. Chen, and N. Ohara. 2012. Regional Modeling Of Climate Change Impact On Peninsular Malaysia Water Resources. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. 16(12): 1040-1049.

Shaaban, J.B.A., Z.Q. Chen, N. Ohara, and M.Z.M. Amin. 2008. Regional Modeling Of Climate Change Impact On Peninsular Malaysia Water Resources. Paper Presented At The World Environmental And Water Resources Congress 2008: Ahupua'a - Proceedings of the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2008, 316.

Laaidi, K., and M. Laaidi. 2002. Météorologie et sécurité routiere. In: Via Secura. 56: 22-24.

Toriman, M.E., J.J. Pereira, M.B. Gasim, S.M.S. Abdullah, and N.A.A. Aziz. 2009. Issues Of Climate Change And Water Resources In Peninsular Malaysia: The Case of Northern Kedah. The Arab World Geographer. 12(1-2): 87-94.

Hogema, J.H. 1996. Effects Of Rain On Daily Traffic Volume And On Driving Behaviour. A Study As Part Of The Project Road and Weather Conditions. Rapport TNO-TM 1996-B019. TNO Human Factors Research Institute TM, Soesterberg.

Edwards, J.B. 1998. The Relationship Between Road Accident Severity And Recorded Weather. Journal of Safety Research. 29(4): 249-262.

Keay, K., and I. Simmonds. 2005. The Association Of Rainfall And Other Weather Variables With Road Traffic Volume In Melbourne. Australia. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 37(1): 109-124.

Agarwal, M., T. Maze, and R. Souleyrette. 2005. Impact of weather on urban freeway traffic flow characteristics and facility capacity. Iowa State University, Center for Transportation Research and Education. Ames, IA.

Talab Haghighi, D. 1973. An Investigation Into The Relationship Between Rainfall And Road Accident Frequencies In Two Cities. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 5(4): 343-349.

van Ganse. 1981. L'environment climatique de la route. CRR Report F36/81. Centre des Researches Routieres, Brussels, Belgium.

Ellinghaus, D. 1983. Wetter und Autofahren; Eine Untersuchung über den Einfluss des Wetters auf das unfallgeschehen und die Verkehrssicherheit. Uniroyal Verkehrsuntersuchung, Heft 10. Gesellschaft für angewandte Sozialforschung und Planung, GmbH Köln.

Martí, I., V.R. Tomás, L.A. García, and J.J Martínez. 2010. A Multi-Agent System For Managing Adverse Weather Situations On The Road Network. Integrated Computer-Aided Engineering. 17(2): 145-155.

Eriksson, M. 2001. Regional Influence On The Occurrence Of Road Slipperiness During Winter Precipitation Events. Meteorological Applications. 8(4): 449-460.

Keay, K., and I. Simmonds. 2006. Road Accidents And Rainfall In A Large Australian City. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 38(3): 445-454.

Terpstra, J.M. 1995. Over slecht zicht, bewolking, windstoten en gladheid. Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut, De Bilt.

Thoma, J. 1993. Geschwindigkeitsverhalten und Risiken bei verschiedenen Strassenzuständen, Wochentagen und Tageszeiten. Schweizerische Beratungsstelle für Unfallverhütung BfU, Bern.

Palutikof, J.P. 1991. Road Accidents And The Weather. In: Perry AH, Symons LJ (Eds). Highway meteorology. E&FN SPON, London.

SWOV., 2012. SWOV Fact sheet: The Influence Of Weather On Road Safety. Institute of Road Safety Research: The Neterlands.

Fokkema, H.J. 1987. Weersgesteldheid en verkeersveiligheid. Traffic Test in opdracht van Directie Verkeersveiligheid van het Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat, Veenendaal.

Sherretz, L.A., and B.C. Farhar. 1978. An Analysis Of The Relationship Between Between Rainfall And The Occurrence Of Traffic Accidents. Journal of Applied Meterology. 17: 711-715.

Smith, K. 1982. How Seasonal And Weather Conditions Influence Road Accidents In Glasgow. In: Scottish Geographical Magazine. 98: 103-114.

Brodsky, H., And A.S. Hakkert. 1988. Risk Of A Road Accident In Rainy Weather. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 20: 161-176.

Codling, P.J. 1974. Weather And Road Accidents. In: Taylor JA (Eds) Climatic Resources And Economic Activity. David & Charles Holdings, Newton Abbot. 205-222.

Satterthwaite, S.P. 1976. An Assessment Of Seasonal And Weather Effects On The Frequency Of Road Accidents In California. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 8: 87-96.

Campbell, M.E. 1971. The Wet Pavement Accident Problem: Breaking Through. Traffic Q. 25: 209-214.

Rooney, J.F, Jr. 1967. The urban snow hazard in the United States. Geogr. Rev. 57: 538-559.

Yaacob, H., M.R. Hainin, and S.N.A.L. Baskara. 2014. Effect Of Rainfall Intensity And Road Crossfall On Skid Resistance Of Asphalt Pavement. Jurnal Teknologi. 70(4): 121-125.

Orne, D.E., and A.H. Yang. 1972. An investigation of weather factor effects on traffic accidents. Traffic. Eng. 43: 14-20.

De Freitas, C.R. 1975. Estimation of the disruptive impact of snowfalls in urban areas. J. Appl. Meteorol. 14: 1166-1173.

af Wåhlberg, A.E. 2008. If You Can‟T Take The Heat: Influences Of Temperature On Bus Accident Rates. Safety Science. 46: 66-71.

Frost, D.B., and M.P. Andreescu. 1998. Weather And Traffic Accidents In Montreal, Canada. Climate Research. 9: 225-230.

Scott, P.P. 1986. Modelling Time-Series of British Road Accident Data. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 18(2): 109-117.

Wyon, D.P., I. Wyon, and F. Norin. 1996. Effects of moderate heat stress on driver vigilance in a moving vehicle. Ergonomics. 39: 61-75.

Salminen, S., P. Perttula, and J. Merjama. 2005. Use Of Rest Breaks And Accidents By Professional Drivers. Perceptual and Motor Skills. 101: 665-668.

Hermans, E., G. Wets, and F. Van Den Bossche. 2006. Frequency and Severity of Belgian Road Traffic Accidents Studied by State-Space Methods. Journal of Transportation and Statistics. 9(1): 63-76.

Malyshkina N.V., F.L. Mannering, and A.P. Tarko. 2008. Markov switching negative binomial models: An application to vehicle accident frequencies. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 41(2): 217-226.

Mann, H.B. 1945. Nonparametric tests against trend. Economet. 13: 245–259.

Kendall, M.G. 1975. Rank correlation methods. Griffin, London.

MOT. 2009. Press Statement: Road Safety Education in Schools. Ministry of Transport, Malaysia, 9 September 2011.

Polis Diraja Malaysia 2013. Laporan Perangkaan Kemalangan Jalan Raya, Malaysia, 2013 Cawangan Trafik, Bukit Aman, Kuala Laumpur.

Shahid, S., Minhans, A., and Puan, O.C. 2014. Assessment Of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Measures In Transportation Sector Of Malaysia. Jurnal Teknologi. 70 (4): 1-8.

Downloads

Published

2016-03-28

Issue

Section

Science and Engineering

How to Cite

CLIMATE CHANGE AND ROAD SAFETY: A REVIEW TO ASSESS IMPACTS IN MALAYSIA. (2016). Jurnal Teknologi (Sciences & Engineering), 78(4). https://doi.org/10.11113/jt.v78.7991